Get expert KC Chiefs vs. DAL Cowboys Thanksgiving Day insights for 11.27.2025. Preview odds, injuries, and key matchups before making your NFL Week 13 game picks.
This Chiefs x Cowboys matchup is such an interesting one.
-It’s an out of conference game yet both teams need to win.
-Both teams are coming off big come from behind season saving home wins against teams in their conference.
-Both teams suffered injuries to both their OL and… pic.twitter.com/CbRoB4vg05
— 🗣🎙‼️ (@LanceTHESPOKEN) November 25, 2025
When: Nov. 27, 4:30 p.m. ET
Where: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
Weather: Indoors
TV: CBS / Paramount+
Spread: DAL Cowboys +3
O/U: 52.5 points
Moneyline: KC -190 / DAL +160
KC Chiefs vs. DAL Cowboys Game Day Preview
Thanksgiving’s late-afternoon spotlight shifts to Arlington as the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Dallas Cowboys in a matchup loaded with playoff implications. Kansas City enters at 6–5, fresh off an overtime win that snapped a two-game skid, while Dallas sits at 5–5-1 after erasing a 21-point deficit to stun the Eagles. Both teams remain firmly in the postseason hunt — and both desperately need this win to keep pace in their divisions.
The headline belongs to Patrick Mahomes, who returns to Texas for his first-ever NFL start at AT&T Stadium. With oddsmakers projecting a shootout (total set at 52.5), Mahomes vs. Dak Prescott has all the makings of the day’s most explosive matchup. Kansas City leans on Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the return of RB Isiah Pacheco, while Dallas counters with the league’s No. 1 offense in total yards.
But injuries could shape the outcome. Kansas City lists WR George Pickens and TE Rashee Rice as questionable, while Dallas awaits updates on CB Trevon Diggs, still recovering from concussion and knee issues. Chiefs head coach Andy Reid called the Thanksgiving stage an “honor,” but admitted the short week creates challenges — something Dallas head coach Brian Schottenheimer echoed as he urged his team to “recharge and be ready to play our best football.”
With both teams hovering around .500 and the playoff picture tightening, this Thanksgiving clash could determine which side stays in the race — and which one falls behind as December football arrives.
Kansas City Chiefs
2025 Record: 6-5 (3rd AFC West)
2025 Road Record: 2-4
2025 ATS Record: 1-6
StatementGames NFL Power Ranking: 11
The Kansas City Chiefs enter Thanksgiving fighting to stay afloat in a crowded AFC playoff race. At 6–5, they trail both Denver and Los Angeles in the AFC West, but last week’s 23–20 overtime win against Indianapolis may have been the jolt this team needed. It was Kansas City’s first one-score win of the season — a notable shift for a team that has struggled to close out tight games.
Offensively, the Chiefs remain powered by Patrick Mahomes, who returns to his home state for his first NFL start at AT&T Stadium. Mahomes continues to elevate a receiving corps hit by injuries, with Rashee Rice and George Pickens both listed as questionable. The return of RB Isiah Pacheco, cleared from his MCL injury, provides a needed boost to a run game that has been inconsistent. Tight end Travis Kelce is back to form with a bounce-back season, giving Mahomes his most reliable weapon.
Defensively, Kansas City continues its trend of strong performances against NFC teams, going 9–2 SU in its last 11 in such matchups. However, the team’s ATS struggles have become glaring — just 1–6 ATS on the road — and they now face a Cowboys offense that ranks first in total yards. Head coach Andy Reid called playing on Thanksgiving an “honor,” but also acknowledged the challenge of the short week: “I can’t tell you I’m excited about short weeks.”
With December approaching and the AFC playoff picture tightening, Kansas City enters this game needing a statement win — and they’ll lean heavily on Mahomes to deliver it on a national stage.
Isiah Pacheco is set to return on Thanksgiving vs. Cowboys pic.twitter.com/TeOKDJy5n1
— BBQ Chiefs (@BBQChiefs) November 25, 2025
Dallas Cowboys
2025 Record: 5-5-1 (2nd NFC East)
2025 Home Record: 3-1
2025 ATS Record: 5-2 at home
StatementGames NFL Power Ranking: 18
The Dallas Cowboys enter Thanksgiving with renewed life after a dramatic 24–21 comeback victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 12. At 5-5-1, Dallas remains in the NFC Wild Card chase despite long postseason odds, and Thursday’s matchup offers a massive opportunity to flip the narrative. Quarterback Dak Prescott led last week’s 21-point rally, showing the kind of resilience and explosiveness the Cowboys will need against Kansas City’s high-powered offense.
Dallas continues to lean on the NFL’s No. 1 offense in total yards, a unit capable of putting pressure on opponents early and forcing shootouts — something that aligns with this game’s projected 52.5-point total. However, injuries continue to cloud the defensive outlook. Star cornerback Trevon Diggs is still progressing through concussion and knee issues, and his status remains uncertain. Without Diggs, the Cowboys secondary will need contributions from its younger defensive backs to contain Patrick Mahomes.
Head coach Brian Schottenheimer praised his team’s resilience and gratitude heading into the holiday slate, telling players he was “seriously thankful for everyone here,” while also emphasizing the need to recharge: “Get away, get your batteries charged… we’re going to have to play our best football.” With a strong 5–0 home record vs. Kansas City and a 5-2 ATS mark at AT&T Stadium, Dallas will look to ride another emotional high in front of their Thanksgiving crowd.
With the playoff race tightening and their backs against the wall, the Cowboys face a defining moment — win here, and their season feels alive again; lose, and the road gets steep.
Post Malone will perform at Thanksgiving's halftime show for the #DallasCowboys game vs Chiefs pic.twitter.com/OmkTpwAwnY
— The Cowboys Network (@TheCowboysNet) November 16, 2025
Chiefs vs. Cowboys Facts
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 straight Chiefs games, while Dallas has gone OVER in 6 of its last 8 overall.
- The Cowboys are 5–0 all-time at home vs. Kansas City, including 5–2 ATS at AT&T Stadium.
- Patrick Mahomes makes his first NFL start in Texas, facing a Cowboys offense that ranks 1st in total yards this season.
Chiefs Kingdom vs. Americas Team Fantasy Football Picks
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NFL Thanksgiving Football PREDICTIONS – Diamonds In The Rough:
- Isiah Pacheco Longest Rush OVER 10.5 Yards
- Patrick Mahomes UNDER 301.5 Passing Yards
- Travis Kelce OVER 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns
Thank you for reading my KC Chiefs vs. DAL Cowboys – Thanksgiving Football Game Day Preview: 11.27.2025! You can read more of my sports betting content on my SG Team Author Page. Feel free to connect with me on X (@MarcSaulino) and follow @StatementGames to stay informed about everything relevant to game day previews.
